Gujarat assembly polls 2022: How BJP performs in Saurashtra, north, south and central Gujarat | India News


NEW DELHI: The Saurashtra-Kutch coastal region has witnessed a flurry of political activities in the run up to the elections, and experts believe it holds the key as to which party will form the new government in Gujarat.
Top leaders cutting across party lines have made a beeline to this politically crucial region, which forms two-third of the state geographically and accounts for 54 (30%) of the 182 seats in the state assembly.
In 2017, the BJP secured 23 seats in the region while the Congress was victorious in 30 seats. One seat was won by an Independent. In 2012, the BJP had won 35 seats, Congress 16; three seats were won by Independents or smaller parties.
PM Narendra Modi began his campaign for Gujarat in the Saurashtra-Kutch region.
Criss-crossing through Gujarat’s Saurashtra region, PM Modi said the BJP government has carried out several developmental works to strengthen Gujarat while Congress does not have the capacity to do that. “The Opposition party can never do anything good for you,” the PM said.
The congress campaign in Gujarat has been muted, but Rahul Gandhi recently held two rallies in the poll-bound state – both in the Saurashtra region.
The region will go to polls in the first phase of elections on December 1.

North Gujarat

North Gujarat comprises 32 assembly seats. In 2017, the BJP had won 14 seats in the region while the Congress secured 17; 1 seat was won by an Independent candidate.
In 2012, the BJP had won 15 seats and Congress 17.
In the region’s smaller towns, the ‘Gujarat model’ of development starts creaking, and the reason for the party’s diffidence is evident. For the voters, unemployment and inflation are the top issues.
Many do not see the point of wide roads, bridges and flyovers, if there are no jobs. Water scarcity, an issue that seriously hurt BJP’s prospects in the last elections, is now being addressed.
On October 31, PM Modi laid foundation stones for projects worth Rs 8,000 crore, which he said will improve irrigation facilities in north Gujarat.
BJP workers believe the party’s tally will improve as leaders influential in their respective castes are contesting on BJP tickets in north Gujarat.
However, the social composition of the region, with sizable Dalits, Muslims, tribals and OBC communities that are not amenable to BJP’s politics, has made the task challenging for the party.
The region will go to polls in the second phase of elections on December 5.

South Gujarat

The 35 assembly seats in south Gujarat are widely populated by tribal communities.
In 2017, the BJP managed to win 25 seats and Congress 10. In 2012, the BJP’s tally in the region was 28; congress 6; other 1.
The challenge posed by the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) and agitations by local tribals against various government projects could queer the pitch for the ruling BJP as well as the Congress.
While the tribal-dominated areas are still considered the BJP’s Achilles’ heel, urban voters in south Gujarat had stood firmly behind the party in 2017, belying predictions that it will face a rout in Surat city.
With the date of the first phase of polling on December 1 approaching, the BJP has intensified its campaign led by PM Modi in the tribal belt of south Gujarat.
Political observers said that BJP had sensed the discontent among the tribals, and that’s the reason the party has been focusing on public outreach programmes for the past several months. Their campaign has been led by PM Modi.
The BJP has been focusing on the belt with development schemes such as tap water for every household and other welfare schemes along with the Hindutva card.
The region will go to polls in the first phase of elections on December 1.

Central Gujarat

Accounting for the largest share of seats (61) in the 182-member House, central Gujarat has a pivotal role in the elections.
The BJP managed to win 37 seats in 2017, while Congress won 22 and other parties secured 2 seats. In 2012, the tally was the same.
Many seats in the region are urban and have benefitted from the Gujarat model of development.
The region will go to polls in the second phase of elections on December 5.


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